INJ-00034

INJ-00034 — compressor_vibration

Status: EXPIRED · Category: A · Source: auto Fired at: 129.48 h · Duration: 4.0 h · Target: NE-01 Economic impact: $-2,800 /h

Parameters

{
  "vib_mm_s": 4.7,
  "plant_id": "NE-01",
  "product": "LOX",
  "customer_id": "C-13",
  "truck_id": "T-E03",
  "driver_id": "D-E06"
}

Cascade — 11 agent steps

#	step	agent	detail
1	INJECTION	Injection Engine	compressor_vibration: MAC vibration 4.7mm/s (HIGH), ISO 10816-3 zone C (unsatisfactory). Zone thresholds: A≤2.3, B≤4.5, C≤7.1, D>7.1. Duration ~0.5h.
2	MPC_SOLVE	MPC Optimizer	🧠 qwen3.5:9b (conf 75%): Current plant physics are stable with MAC operating at 68% load, resulting in a healthy surge margin of 36% and HP flood at 54%. The critical factor is the driver sickness (Driver D-E04) rende…
3	PHYSICS	Physics Kernel	📐 MPC: Optimal load 71% (4h horizon) | Priority: 3 | Expected margin: $0/h | Reason: All constraints healthy → optimize revenue (+load)
4	PRODUCTION	Production Agent	Vibration at 4.7mm/s indicates early-stage bearing wear or minor imbalance. MAC health=75%, surge margin 36% — healthy. Lundberg bearing L10 life ≈ 8457 h (baseline 40,000 h at 2.8 mm/s; life ∝ amplitude⁻³). At curren…
5	TANKS	Tank Inventory Agent	Already at 60% floor — cannot cut further. Shifting to maintenance-first response: isolate MAC, bypass to backup air if available, accelerate millwright dispatch. Power draw held at 16.1MW.
6	DISPATCH	Dispatch Agent	LOX at 60%, LIN at 62%. At reduced load, tank fill rates drop ~12%. Tanks adequate for maintenance window.
7	CUSTOMERS	Customer Impact Agent	Normal dispatch continues. If maintenance extends beyond 2h, HUB agent accelerates dispatch. Drivers available: 4.
8	LOSS_MITIGATION	Loss Ledger	During load reduction, 12% less product. Customers with <2d inventory at risk of delayed delivery. Monitor SLA impact.
9	ECONOMICS	Economics Agent	📉 L1: Primary Production Physical Balance — PROC reduces load to maintain production continuity
10	RECOVERY	Recovery Planner	Cost of acting: revenue impact -$188/hfromreducedproduction.CostofNOTacting:MACtrip\to$57k/h total loss + 24h restart. Maintenance cost pays for itself vs trip risk. maintenance(mac) dispatched — ETA 60 min.
11	STEP_10	STEP_10	1) Maintenance crew dispatched (1 millwright + 1 vibration analyst, ETA 60 min) for MAC bearing inspection. 2) At 60% load, vibration should drop to ~3.7mm/s (amplitude ∝ ω²). 3) After maintenance: health→100%, ramp b…

Raw effects

0. MAC vib 4.7mm/s, health→86%, all tanks venting
1. compressor_vibration: MAC vibration 4.7mm/s (HIGH), ISO 10816-3 zone C (unsatisfactory). Zone thresholds: A≤2.3, B≤4.5, C≤7.1, D>7.1. Duration ~0.5h.
2. 🧠 qwen3.5:9b (conf 75%): Current plant physics are stable with MAC operating at 68% load, resulting in a healthy surge margin of 36% and HP flood at 54%. The critical factor is the driver sickness (Driver D-E04) rendering one delivery unit unavailable for 8 hours. This reduces outbound logistics capacity, which threatens to cause inventory accumulation as production continues. However, tank levels are currently well within safe operational limits (LOX 60%, LIN 62%, LAR 45%), with no immediate overflow risk despite the drain rates. The economic impact is a loss of roughly $200/hour in potential revenue due to the inabi
3. 📐 MPC: Optimal load 71% (4h horizon) | Priority: 3 | Expected margin: $0/h | Reason: All constraints healthy → optimize revenue (+load)
4. Vibration at 4.7mm/s indicates early-stage bearing wear or minor imbalance. MAC health=75%, surge margin 36% — healthy. Lundberg bearing L10 life ≈ 8457 h (baseline 40,000 h at 2.8 mm/s; life ∝ amplitude⁻³). At current load 68%, centrifugal force amplifies the defect. Reducing rotor speed lowers vibration amplitude.
5. Already at 60% floor — cannot cut further. Shifting to maintenance-first response: isolate MAC, bypass to backup air if available, accelerate millwright dispatch. Power draw held at 16.1MW.
6. LOX at 60%, LIN at 62%. At reduced load, tank fill rates drop ~12%. Tanks adequate for maintenance window.
7. Normal dispatch continues. If maintenance extends beyond 2h, HUB agent accelerates dispatch. Drivers available: 4.
8. During load reduction, 12% less product. Customers with <2d inventory at risk of delayed delivery. Monitor SLA impact.
9. 📉 L1: Primary Production Physical Balance — PROC reduces load to maintain production continuity
10. Cost of acting: revenue impact -$188/hfromreducedproduction.CostofNOTacting:MACtrip\to$57k/h total loss + 24h restart. Maintenance cost pays for itself vs trip risk. maintenance(mac) dispatched — ETA 60 min.
11. 1. Maintenance crew dispatched (1 millwright + 1 vibration analyst, ETA 60 min) for MAC bearing inspection. 2) At 60% load, vibration should drop to ~3.7mm/s (amplitude ∝ ω²). 3) After maintenance: health→100%, ramp back to 68% over 30 min. 4) Vibration analyst signs off at <2.5 mm/s. Expected total recovery: 1-2h.

Deep RCA — agentic investigation

Investigation: INV-30f685caa2 · Status: running · Model: qwen3.5:27b

Hypotheses (ACH-scored)

#	Status	Confidence	Category	TEMP	PHYS	SUPP	CONTRA	BASE	COMP	Hypothesis
1	residual	50%	Process/Utility	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	Primary cause: compressor vibration directly degraded Main Air Compressor
2	residual	50%	Procedural	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	Contributing factor: leading indicators in the window were available but not acted on by the swarm agents
3	residual	50%	Instrumentation	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	0.50	Alternative: sensor / instrumentation drift may have delayed detection

Swarm action trace

Agent	Trigger	Decision	Outcome	Reasoning
FLEET-CFO		read_fleet	PENDING	FLEET: $1,107,119/drev,$1,087,249/d margin (98%) | OFF-PEAK $38/MWh
HUB-EAST		read_customers	PENDING	Eastern Distribution Hub: 20 cust, 10 urgent, 0 CRITICAL, 0 dispatched this cycle, 3 total
FLEET-RT		read_distribution	PENDING	Routes: 2 active (12 new) | 0 delivered (+0) | Fleet: 30% util | GCN: TRAINING (routes live) loss=0.0000 | LLM:
FLEET-FORECAST		read_forecast	PENDING	FORECAST: 33 tracked, 0 CRIT, 0 URG | proactive: 0 | LLM targets: none | top: Philadelphia St:LOX 3.4d, Philadelphia
FLEET-OPS		read_fleet	PENDING	OPS [GREEN]: 1on 0starting | 0alm 0crit | OFF-PEAK
NE01-SENS		read_plant	PENDING	NE-01 [NORMAL] 402 tags | 20MW surge=39% | PHX=78K HP=94K LP=81K | O2=99.5% flood=61% | health MAC=98.5% PHX=100.0%
FLEET-RT		read_distribution	PENDING	Routes: 3 active (12 new) | 0 delivered (+0) | Fleet: 30% util | GCN: TRAINING (routes live) loss=0.0000
HUB-EAST		read_customers	PENDING	Eastern Distribution Hub: 20 cust, 10 urgent, 0 CRITICAL, 0 dispatched this cycle, 3 total
NE01-ECON		read_economics	PENDING	NE-01 [NORMAL] $45,065/hrev-$837/h cost = $+44,228/h margin | GOX=1.4 GAN=83.0 LOX=26.3 LIN=2.4 LAR=0.0 kg/s | 20MW
FLEET-FC		read_fleet	PENDING	FLEET: $45,065/hrev,$837/h cost, $+44,228/hmargin\Vert 20MW[OFF-PEAK$38/MWh] | fleet 30% util (3del+0ret/10) | fuel
FLEET-FORECAST		read_forecast	PENDING	FORECAST: 33 tracked, 0 CRIT, 0 URG | proactive: 0 | LLM targets: none | top: Philadelphia St:LOX 3.4d, Philadelphia
FLEET-CFO		read_fleet	PENDING	FLEET: $1,081,553/drev,$1,061,465/d margin (98%) | OFF-PEAK $38/MWh
FLEET-OPS		read_fleet	PENDING	OPS [GREEN]: 1on 0starting | 0alm 0crit | OFF-PEAK
NE01-SENS		read_plant	PENDING	NE-01 [NORMAL] 402 tags | 20MW surge=34% | PHX=78K HP=93K LP=82K | O2=99.6% flood=56% | health MAC=98.4% PHX=100.0%
NE01-ECON		read_economics	PENDING	NE-01 [NORMAL] $42,335/hrev-$843/h cost = $+41,492/h margin | GOX=1.3 GAN=78.1 LOX=24.6 LIN=2.3 LAR=0.0 kg/s | 20MW
FLEET-FC		read_fleet	PENDING	FLEET: $42,736/hrev,$842/h cost, $+41,894/hmargin\Vert 20MW[OFF-PEAK$38/MWh] | fleet 30% util (3del+0ret/10) | fuel
FLEET-CFO		read_fleet	PENDING	FLEET: $1,027,625/drev,$1,007,443/d margin (98%) | OFF-PEAK $38/MWh\Vert SCENARIO:NE-01trip[CRITICAL]$1,012,987 los
HUB-EAST		read_customers	PENDING	Eastern Distribution Hub: 20 cust, 10 urgent, 0 CRITICAL, 0 dispatched this cycle, 3 total
FLEET-RT		read_distribution	PENDING	Routes: 3 active (12 new) | 0 delivered (+0) | Fleet: 30% util | GCN: TRAINING (routes live) loss=0.0000 | LLM:
FLEET-FORECAST		read_forecast	PENDING	FORECAST: 33 tracked, 0 CRIT, 0 URG | proactive: 0 | LLM targets: none | top: Philadelphia St:LOX 3.4d, Philadelphia

Value attribution

Saved: $0\cdot \ast \ast Lost:\ast \ast$0 · Net: $0

Bucket	$	Method	Confidence	Note
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-CFO → read_fleet
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	HUB-EAST → read_customers
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-RT → read_distribution
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-FORECAST → read_forecast
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-OPS → read_fleet
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	NE01-SENS → read_plant
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-RT → read_distribution
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	HUB-EAST → read_customers
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	NE01-ECON → read_economics
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-FC → read_fleet
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-FORECAST → read_forecast
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-CFO → read_fleet
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-OPS → read_fleet
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	NE01-SENS → read_plant
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	NE01-ECON → read_economics

Related

• Injection Timeline
• NE-01
• MOC