INJ-00024

INJ-00024 — demand_spike

Status: EXPIRED · Category: E · Source: auto Fired at: 99.49 h · Duration: 6.0 h · Target: T-E01 Economic impact: $375 /h

Parameters

{
  "customer_id": "C-04",
  "surge_pct": 75,
  "product": "LAR",
  "truck_id": "T-E01",
  "driver_id": "D-E01"
}

Cascade — 12 agent steps

#	step	agent	detail
1	INJECTION	Injection Engine	demand_spike: customer C-04 (C-04) LAR demand surges +75% above contract baseline (+59 kg/h). Duration ~12h.
2	MPC_SOLVE	MPC Optimizer	📐 MPC: Optimal load 83% (4h horizon) | Priority: 3 | Expected margin: $0/h | Reason: All constraints healthy → optimize revenue (+load)
3	PHYSICS	Physics Kernel	No direct equipment impact — external demand event. LAR tank drain boost +0.04 kg/s on LAR only; other products unchanged.
4	PRODUCTION	Production Agent	RAMPING 60%→65% (5 pts up, ~8% more production). LAR inflow ~0.03 kg/s → ~0.03 kg/s. More liquid to tanks to meet elevated demand.
5	TANKS	Tank Inventory Agent	LAR at 46%. Net rate: inflow 0.03 - surged demand 0.04 = -0.01 kg/s (tank DRAINING). Production cannot fully match surge — headroom 46% ÷ 28 kg/h.
6	DISPATCH	Dispatch Agent	🔀 GCN: Route optimization active — 52-feature node embeddings × learned edge weights. Blending 70% distance + 30% GCN-learned delivery outcome weights.
7	CUSTOMERS	Customer Impact Agent	HUB prioritizing C-04 (C-04) [tier ?] for emergency LAR delivery. Nearest: driver D-E04 · truck T-E06 · route ~145 km · ETA ~2.3h. Multi-stop routes may be split. Dispatch urgency 0.95.
8	LOSS_MITIGATION	Loss Ledger	C-04 (C-04) demand up +75% (59 kg/h over baseline); inventory-days unknown. Their inventory depletes 1.8× faster. Other customers may see delays as trucks are redirected; <2d-inventory customers at highest stockout risk.
9	ECONOMICS	Economics Agent	💱 Procurement: Evaluating spot buy/sell — proactive purchase at <1.5d for P1/P2 customers at 2.5x markup (cheaper than 3x emergency). Spot sell if tanks >85% and demand low.
10	RECOVERY	Recovery Planner	📉 L1: Primary Production Physical Balance — PROC ramps MAC carefully, maintains production accuracy
11	STEP_10	STEP_10	Revenue opportunity: +75% demand at C-04 ≈ +$1667/hifmet.Ramppowercost+$21/h at $33/MWh.Currentplantmargin$20984/h. Tier-? SLA exposure ~$9000/d if missed. SPOT-BUY NOT NEEDED: tank runway 1288.0h < surge 12…
12	STEP_11	STEP_11	1) Surge expected 12h. 2) During surge: maintain 65% load, prioritize C-04 dispatch. 3) After surge ends: demand returns to baseline, load can reduce to save power. 4) Tank levels recover over 4-6h post-surge.

Raw effects

0. C-04 LAR +75%
1. demand_spike: customer C-04 (C-04) LAR demand surges +75% above contract baseline (+59 kg/h). Duration ~12h.
2. 📐 MPC: Optimal load 83% (4h horizon) | Priority: 3 | Expected margin: $0/h | Reason: All constraints healthy → optimize revenue (+load)
3. No direct equipment impact — external demand event. LAR tank drain boost +0.04 kg/s on LAR only; other products unchanged.
4. RAMPING 60%→65% (5 pts up, ~8% more production). LAR inflow ~0.03 kg/s → ~0.03 kg/s. More liquid to tanks to meet elevated demand.
5. LAR at 46%. Net rate: inflow 0.03 - surged demand 0.04 = -0.01 kg/s (tank DRAINING). Production cannot fully match surge — headroom 46% ÷ 28 kg/h.
6. 🔀 GCN: Route optimization active — 52-feature node embeddings × learned edge weights. Blending 70% distance + 30% GCN-learned delivery outcome weights.
7. HUB prioritizing C-04 (C-04) [tier ?] for emergency LAR delivery. Nearest: driver D-E04 · truck T-E06 · route ~145 km · ETA ~2.3h. Multi-stop routes may be split. Dispatch urgency 0.95.
8. C-04 (C-04) demand up +75% (59 kg/h over baseline); inventory-days unknown. Their inventory depletes 1.8× faster. Other customers may see delays as trucks are redirected; <2d-inventory customers at highest stockout risk.
9. 💱 Procurement: Evaluating spot buy/sell — proactive purchase at <1.5d for P1/P2 customers at 2.5x markup (cheaper than 3x emergency). Spot sell if tanks >85% and demand low.
10. 📉 L1: Primary Production Physical Balance — PROC ramps MAC carefully, maintains production accuracy
11. Revenue opportunity: +75% demand at C-04 ≈ +$1667/hifmet.Ramppowercost+$21/h at $33/MWh.Currentplantmargin$20984/h. Tier-? SLA exposure ~$9000/difmissed.SPOT-BUYNOTNEEDED:tankrunway1288.0h<surge12h\to deficit0.0h\times 0.01kg/s=0.0t;production+inventorycoverthesurgecomfortably.Plantmargin$20984/h retained.
12. 1. Surge expected 12h. 2) During surge: maintain 65% load, prioritize C-04 dispatch. 3) After surge ends: demand returns to baseline, load can reduce to save power. 4) Tank levels recover over 4-6h post-surge.

Deep RCA

No RCA investigation found for this injection type.

Related

• Injection Timeline
• T-E01
• MOC