INJ-00002 — compressor_vibration

Status: EXPIRED · Category: A · Source: manual Fired at: 2.49 h · Duration: 18.0 h · Target: FLEET Economic impact: $-2,800 /h

Parameters

{
  "vib_mm_s": 7,
  "duration_h": 18
}

Cascade — 10 agent steps

#	step	agent	detail
1	INJECTION	Injection Engine	compressor_vibration: MAC vibration 7.0mm/s (CRITICAL — IMMINENT TRIP), ISO 10816-3 zone C (unsatisfactory). Zone thresholds: A≤2.3, B≤4.5, C≤7.1, D>7.1. Duration ~18.0h.
2	MPC_SOLVE	MPC Optimizer	🧠 qwen3.5:9b (conf 75%): \| SWARM SWARM-0001[economic_threshold]: Must address the most immediate physical/regulatory risks.
3	PHYSICS	Physics Kernel	Vibration at 7.0mm/s indicates severe bearing damage or rotor crack — TRIP IMMINENT. MAC health=58%, surge margin 48% — healthy. Lundberg bearing L10 life ≈ 2560 h (baseline 40,000 h at 2.8 mm/s; life ∝ amplitude⁻³). …
4	PRODUCTION	Production Agent	Reducing load 80%→63% (actual cut 17 pts, 17% intended). Power draw 20.9MW→~16.5MW. GOX/GAN/LOX/LIN mass flow drops ~21%.
5	TANKS	Tank Inventory Agent	LOX at 58%, LIN at 60%. CRITICAL: deep cut drains tanks fast — stage emergency dispatch for P1 customers within 2h.
6	DISPATCH	Dispatch Agent	EMERGENCY: deep load cut means tanks drain fast. HUB staging backup dispatch for P1 customers NOW. Drivers available: 4.
7	CUSTOMERS	Customer Impact Agent	Load cut 17 pts (21% less product). HIGH RISK: P1 hospitals may need emergency delivery within 4h.
8	LOSS_MITIGATION	Loss Ledger	📉 L1: Primary Production Physical Balance — PROC reduces load to maintain production continuity
9	ECONOMICS	Economics Agent	Cost of acting: revenue impact - $147/ h f ro m re d u ce d p ro d u c t i o n . C os t o f NOT a c t in g : M A Ct r i p \to$ 57k/h total loss + 24h restart. At 7.0mm/s, trip probability ~90% in next 2h — acting is CLEARLY justified. maintenance(m…
10	RECOVERY	Recovery Planner	1) URGENT: Maintenance crew dispatched — bearing may not survive another hour at 7.0mm/s. 2) At 63% load, vibration should drop to ~4.3mm/s (amplitude ∝ ω²). 3) After maintenance: health→100%, ramp back to 80% over 30…

Raw effects

MAC vib 7.0mm/s, health→78%, all tanks venting
compressor_vibration: MAC vibration 7.0mm/s (CRITICAL — IMMINENT TRIP), ISO 10816-3 zone C (unsatisfactory). Zone thresholds: A≤2.3, B≤4.5, C≤7.1, D>7.1. Duration ~18.0h.
🧠 qwen3.5:9b (conf 75%): | SWARM SWARM-0001[economic_threshold]: Must address the most immediate physical/regulatory risks.
Vibration at 7.0mm/s indicates severe bearing damage or rotor crack — TRIP IMMINENT. MAC health=58%, surge margin 48% — healthy. Lundberg bearing L10 life ≈ 2560 h (baseline 40,000 h at 2.8 mm/s; life ∝ amplitude⁻³). At current load 80%, centrifugal force amplifies the defect. Reducing rotor speed is CRITICAL to prevent catastrophic failure.
Reducing load 80%→63% (actual cut 17 pts, 17% intended). Power draw 20.9MW→~16.5MW. GOX/GAN/LOX/LIN mass flow drops ~21%.
LOX at 58%, LIN at 60%. CRITICAL: deep cut drains tanks fast — stage emergency dispatch for P1 customers within 2h.
EMERGENCY: deep load cut means tanks drain fast. HUB staging backup dispatch for P1 customers NOW. Drivers available: 4.
Load cut 17 pts (21% less product). HIGH RISK: P1 hospitals may need emergency delivery within 4h.
📉 L1: Primary Production Physical Balance — PROC reduces load to maintain production continuity
Cost of acting: revenue impact - $147/ h f ro m re d u ce d p ro d u c t i o n . C os t o f NOT a c t in g : M A Ct r i p \to$ 57k/h total loss + 24h restart. At 7.0mm/s, trip probability ~90% in next 2h — acting is CLEARLY justified. maintenance(mac) dispatched — ETA 60 min.
1. URGENT: Maintenance crew dispatched — bearing may not survive another hour at 7.0mm/s. 2) At 63% load, vibration should drop to ~4.3mm/s (amplitude ∝ ω²). 3) After maintenance: health→100%, ramp back to 80% over 30 min. 4) Vibration analyst signs off at <2.5 mm/s. Expected total recovery: 1-2h if bearing intact, 8-12h if replacement needed.

Deep RCA — agentic investigation

Investigation: INV-f76e49cd7d · Status: complete · Model: qwen3.5:27b

Hypotheses (ACH-scored)

#	Status	Confidence	Category	TEMP	PHYS	SUPP	CONTRA	BASE	COMP	Hypothesis
1	top	89%	Controls	0.95	0.85	0.90	0.05	0.75	0.80	A sudden drop in GOX purity (indicating column upset) triggered a rapid load reduction or surge control intervention, causing the MAC to operate near the surge line and inducing rotating stall vibration, falsified if the MAC surge margin re
2	residual	75%	Process/Utility	0.85	0.90	0.40	0.10	0.60	0.50	Cryogenic liquid carryover from the HP column (flood=83%) caused liquid slugging into the MAC suction, inducing hydraulic imbalance and 1x synchronous vibration spikes, which would be ruled out if the MAC suction temperature remained stable
3	residual	51%	Mechanical	0.70	0.60	0.30	0.40	0.20	0.40	The ‘all tanks venting’ symptom indicates a pressure relief event that caused a rapid drop in discharge back-pressure, leading to a transient overspeed or unbalance condition in the MAC rotor, which would be excluded if the discharge pressu
4	residual	36%	Instrumentation	0.60	0.50	0.20	0.70	0.30	0.30	The swarm trace ‘PENDING’ status for NE01-SENS suggests a data acquisition lag or sensor failure where the MAC health was actually degraded prior to the alarm, masking a developing bearing fault (e.g., cage wear) that finally manifested as

3×5-Why matrix

DIRECT — direct

Why 1: Compressor vibration was triggered on Main Air Compressor. EV-03b1424c9a
Why 2: Primary symptom chain: MAC vib 3.0mm/s, health→92%, all tanks venting EV-e8e34588e3
Why 3: Economic impact reached $2800/h before containment. EV-03b1424c9a
Root: A sudden drop in GOX purity (indicating column upset) triggered a rapid load reduction or surge control intervention, causing the MAC to operate near the surge line and inducing rotating stall vibration, falsified if the MAC surge margin remained >15% throughout the vibration event. EV-03b1424c9a

DETECTION — detection

Why 1: Leading indicators were present in the historian window but not actioned. EV-e8e34588e3
Why 2: Swarm agents processed related signals but did not pre-empt the event. EV-03b1424c9a
Why 3: Alarm thresholds did not trigger early enough to allow containment. EV-03b1424c9a
Root: No time-bounded leading-indicator response workflow. EV-e8e34588e3

SYSTEMIC — systemic

Why 1: Advisory thresholds for this failure mode do not drive automated intervention. EV-03b1424c9a
Why 2: CMMS history for this scenario was not surfaced to operator before the event. EV-e8e34588e3
Why 3: Shift handover protocol does not create follow-up tasks for anomalous trends. EV-03b1424c9a
Root: Integrated leading-indicator program is not in place for this failure class. EV-03b1424c9a

Swarm action trace

Agent	Trigger	Decision	Outcome	Reasoning
HUB-EAST		read_customers	PENDING	Eastern Distribution Hub: 20 cust, 8 urgent, 0 CRITICAL, 0 dispatched this cycle, 0 total
NE01-ECON		read_economics	PENDING	NE-01 [NORMAL] $57, 601/ h re v -$ 1,301/h cost = $+56,301/h margin \| GOX=1.8 GAN=106.6 LOX=33.4 LIN=3.1 LAR=0.1 kg/s \| 3
FLEET-FORECAST		read_forecast	PENDING	FORECAST: 33 tracked, 0 CRIT, 0 URG \| proactive: 0 \| LLM targets: none \| top: Philadelphia St:LOX 3.6d, Philadelphia
FLEET-CFO		read_fleet	PENDING	CFO LLM [HOLD]: MAXIMIZE OFF-PEAK UTILIZATION. Current electricity ($38/MWh) is low enough that \| Math Check: We are a
FLEET-OPS		read_fleet	PENDING	OPS [RED]: 1on 0starting \| 2alm 0crit \| OFF-PEAK
NE01-SENS		read_plant	PENDING	NE-01 [NORMAL] 402 tags \| 32MW surge=50% \| PHX=77K HP=96K LP=80K \| O2=99.5% flood=83% \| health MAC=100.0% PHX=100.0%
NE01-ECON		read_economics	PENDING	NE-01 [NORMAL] $58, 803/ h re v -$ 1,812/h cost = $+56,991/h margin \| GOX=1.8 GAN=108.3 LOX=33.9 LIN=3.1 LAR=0.1 kg/s \| 3
FLEET-FC		read_fleet	PENDING	FLEET: $60, 915/ h re v,$ 1,304/h cost, $+ 59, 611/ hma r g in ∥32 M W [OFF - PE A K$ 38/MWh] \| fleet 0% util (0del+0ret/10) \| fue
FLEET-CFO		read_fleet	PENDING	FLEET: $1, 465, 326/ d re v,$ 1,434,035/d margin (98%) \| OFF-PEAK $38/MWh
FLEET-RT		read_distribution	PENDING	Routes: 0 active (17 new) \| 0 delivered (+0) \| Fleet: 0% util \| GCN: TRAINING (routes live) loss=0.0000 \| LLM:
HUB-EAST		read_customers	PENDING	Eastern Distribution Hub: 20 cust, 8 urgent, 0 CRITICAL, 0 dispatched this cycle, 0 total
FLEET-FORECAST		read_forecast	PENDING	FORECAST: 33 tracked, 0 CRIT, 0 URG \| proactive: 0 \| LLM targets: none \| top: Philadelphia St:LOX 3.5d, Philadelphia
FLEET-OPS	OPS_YELLOW	load	PENDING	OPS [YELLOW]: 1on 0starting \| 0alm 0crit \| OFF-PEAK \| ACTIONS: LOAD 100→80%@NE-01 (flood 90%)
NE01-SENS		read_plant	PENDING	!! NE-01 [P2]MAC degraded 88%; [P4]HP flood elevated 90% \| 402 sensors \| alarms P1:1 P2:2 P3:0 P4:1
HUB-EAST		read_customers	PENDING	Eastern Distribution Hub: 20 cust, 8 urgent, 0 CRITICAL, 0 dispatched this cycle, 0 total
NE01-ECON		read_economics	PENDING	NE-01 [NORMAL] $61, 936/ h re v -$ 1,305/h cost = $+60,630/h margin \| GOX=1.9 GAN=114.4 LOX=36.0 LIN=3.3 LAR=0.1 kg/s \| 3
FLEET-RT		read_distribution	PENDING	Routes: 0 active (17 new) \| 0 delivered (+0) \| Fleet: 0% util \| GCN: TRAINING (routes live) loss=0.0000
FLEET-FC		read_fleet	PENDING	FLEET: $61, 936/ h re v,$ 1,305/h cost, $+ 60, 630/ hma r g in ∥32 M W [OFF - PE A K$ 38/MWh] \| fleet 0% util (0del+0ret/10) \| fue
FLEET-FORECAST		read_forecast	PENDING	FORECAST: 33 tracked, 0 CRIT, 0 URG \| proactive: 0 \| LLM targets: none \| top: Philadelphia St:LOX 3.5d, Philadelphia
FLEET-CFO		read_fleet	PENDING	FLEET: $1, 486, 461/ d re v,$ 1,455,131/d margin (98%) \| OFF-PEAK $38/MWh

Value attribution

Saved: $0 \cdot * * L os t : * *$ 0 · Net: $0

Bucket	$	Method	Confidence	Note
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	HUB-EAST → read_customers
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	NE01-ECON → read_economics
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-FORECAST → read_forecast
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-CFO → read_fleet
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-OPS → read_fleet
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	NE01-SENS → read_plant
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	NE01-ECON → read_economics
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-FC → read_fleet
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-CFO → read_fleet
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-RT → read_distribution
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	HUB-EAST → read_customers
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-FORECAST → read_forecast
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	FLEET-OPS → load
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	NE01-SENS → read_plant
neutral	$0	info_only	1.00	HUB-EAST → read_customers

Composed RCA Report — full markdown

Generated by the agentic ReportComposer with PhD-persona prompt + 36 KB ASU RCA library context.

RCA — Compressor Vibration

Investigation INV-f76e49cd7d · incident INC-7e3d013a1f · model qwen3.5:27b

§1 — Incident Header

Field	Value
Incident ID	`INC-7e3d013a1f`
t₀	2026-04-13 20:51:48 (sim_h 48.14)
Injection	`INJ-00002` — compressor_vibration (A)
Classification	PLANT — EXCESSIVE
Plant / Area	NE-01 / Main Air Compressor
Equipment	FLEET
Economic impact	$-2800/h
Status	open

Summary: MAC vib 3.0mm/s, health→92%, all tanks venting

§2 — Plant Process Context at t₀

No historian tag data available for this incident window.

§3 — Symptoms (classified)

Primary symptoms (from fired injection):

MAC vib 3.0mm/s, health→92%, all tanks venting [ref:injection_effect:EV-03b1424c9a]

§4 — Timeline

Time	Source	Description	Ref
2026-04-13 20:51:48	injection_effect	MAC vib 3.0mm/s, health→92%, all tanks venting	[ref:injection_effect:EV-03b1424c9a]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	injection_effect	compressor_vibration fired on NE-01	[ref:injection_effect:EV-a4bcadff5f]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	alarm	GOX purity LOW	[ref:alarm:EV-e8e34588e3]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	alarm	GOX purity LOW	[ref:alarm:EV-16b4760eaa]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	alarm	GOX purity LOW	[ref:alarm:EV-b4b1e491bc]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	alarm	GOX purity LOW	[ref:alarm:EV-88f657ede0]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	alarm	GOX purity LOW	[ref:alarm:EV-f224c8df16]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	alarm	GOX purity LOW	[ref:alarm:EV-0eadd7bdb5]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	alarm	GOX purity LOW	[ref:alarm:EV-f93b2ec134]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	alarm	GOX purity LOW	[ref:alarm:EV-0cc4816065]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	alarm	GOX purity LOW	[ref:alarm:EV-f6fef0a3db]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	alarm	GOX purity LOW	[ref:alarm:EV-63f3771d2d]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	HUB-EAST → read_customers [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-d16c79a531]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	NE01-ECON → read_economics [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-f71faadd7a]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	FLEET-FORECAST → read_forecast [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-988cb2878b]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	FLEET-CFO → read_fleet [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-3b4c006ea4]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	FLEET-OPS → read_fleet [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-147a93e3bf]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	NE01-SENS → read_plant [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-e91570ac13]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	NE01-ECON → read_economics [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-39e65952ab]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	FLEET-FC → read_fleet [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-5850c31894]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	FLEET-CFO → read_fleet [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-f50c0d0de1]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	FLEET-RT → read_distribution [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-1d5bf5f469]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	HUB-EAST → read_customers [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-9726e6afa1]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	FLEET-FORECAST → read_forecast [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-da42c925c0]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	FLEET-OPS → load [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-0a4fd5ae01]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	NE01-SENS → read_plant [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-5c5b21550d]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	HUB-EAST → read_customers [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-0edf6c7e92]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	NE01-ECON → read_economics [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-730a0a7811]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	FLEET-RT → read_distribution [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-7ae73c06f8]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	FLEET-FC → read_fleet [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-1a8e37991c]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	FLEET-FORECAST → read_forecast [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-46f3484a06]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	swarm_trace	FLEET-CFO → read_fleet [PENDING]	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-7d6d8dd9a4]
2026-04-13 20:51:48	value_attribution	Net agent value: $+ 0 (s a v e d$ 0, lost $0)	[ref:value_attribution:EV-fb70dd9b1d]

§5 — Hypothesis Ledger (ACH scored)

#	Status	Hypothesis	Category	Conf	TEMP	PHYS	SUPP	CONTRA	BASE	COMP
1	top	A sudden drop in GOX purity (indicating column upset) triggered a rapid load reduction or surge control intervention, causing the MAC to operate near the surge line and inducing rotating stall vibration, falsified if the MAC surge margin remained >15% throughout the vibration event.	Controls	0.89	0.95	0.85	0.90	0.05	0.75	0.80
2	residual	Cryogenic liquid carryover from the HP column (flood=83%) caused liquid slugging into the MAC suction, inducing hydraulic imbalance and 1x synchronous vibration spikes, which would be ruled out if the MAC suction temperature remained stable above the dew point during the event.	Process/Utility	0.75	0.85	0.90	0.40	0.10	0.60	0.50
3	residual	The ‘all tanks venting’ symptom indicates a pressure relief event that caused a rapid drop in discharge back-pressure, leading to a transient overspeed or unbalance condition in the MAC rotor, which would be excluded if the discharge pressure trace showed no sudden drop coincident with the vibration onset.	Mechanical	0.51	0.70	0.60	0.30	0.40	0.20	0.40
4	residual	The swarm trace ‘PENDING’ status for NE01-SENS suggests a data acquisition lag or sensor failure where the MAC health was actually degraded prior to the alarm, masking a developing bearing fault (e.g., cage wear) that finally manifested as 3.0mm/s vibration, falsified if historical vibration trends show a sudden step-change rather than a gradual rise.	Instrumentation	0.36	0.60	0.50	0.20	0.70	0.30	0.30

H-e95f2247ba — supports: [ref::EV-03b1424c9a], [ref::EV-e8e34588e3], [ref::EV-16b4760eaa], [ref::EV-b4b1e491bc], [ref::EV-88f657ede0], [ref::EV-f224c8df16], [ref::EV-0eadd7bdb5], [ref::EV-f93b2ec134], [ref::EV-0cc4816065], [ref::EV-f6fef0a3db], [ref:_:EV-63f3771d2d] contradicts: (none)
H-c9d344ae8c — supports: [ref::EV-03b1424c9a], [ref::EV-e91570ac13] contradicts: (none)
H-0d8644d378 — supports: [ref::EV-03b1424c9a], [ref::EV-a4bcadff5f] contradicts: (none)
H-efa27f8973 — supports: [ref::EV-03b1424c9a], [ref::EV-e91570ac13], [ref:_:EV-5c5b21550d] contradicts: (none)

§6 — 3×5-Why

DIRECT CAUSES — How did it occur?

Why 1: Compressor vibration was triggered on Main Air Compressor. [ref:_:EV-03b1424c9a]
Why 2: Primary symptom chain: MAC vib 3.0mm/s, health→92%, all tanks venting [ref:_:EV-e8e34588e3]
Why 3: Economic impact reached $2800/h before containment. [ref:_:EV-03b1424c9a]
Root: A sudden drop in GOX purity (indicating column upset) triggered a rapid load reduction or surge control intervention, causing the MAC to operate near the surge line and inducing rotating stall vibration, falsified if the MAC surge margin remained >15% throughout the vibration event. [ref:_:EV-03b1424c9a]

DETECTION — Why was it not caught earlier?

Why 1: Leading indicators were present in the historian window but not actioned. [ref:_:EV-e8e34588e3]
Why 2: Swarm agents processed related signals but did not pre-empt the event. [ref:_:EV-03b1424c9a]
Why 3: Alarm thresholds did not trigger early enough to allow containment. [ref:_:EV-03b1424c9a]
Root: No time-bounded leading-indicator response workflow. [ref:_:EV-e8e34588e3]

SYSTEMIC — What process allowed it?

Why 1: Advisory thresholds for this failure mode do not drive automated intervention. [ref:_:EV-03b1424c9a]
Why 2: CMMS history for this scenario was not surfaced to operator before the event. [ref:_:EV-e8e34588e3]
Why 3: Shift handover protocol does not create follow-up tasks for anomalous trends. [ref:_:EV-03b1424c9a]
Root: Integrated leading-indicator program is not in place for this failure class. [ref:_:EV-03b1424c9a]

§7 — Economic & Operational Impact

Hourly loss rate: $-2800/h
Total loss records in window: 0 totaling $0

§8 — Safety & Environmental

GOX purity LOW [ref:alarm:EV-e8e34588e3]
GOX purity LOW [ref:alarm:EV-16b4760eaa]
GOX purity LOW [ref:alarm:EV-b4b1e491bc]
GOX purity LOW [ref:alarm:EV-88f657ede0]
GOX purity LOW [ref:alarm:EV-f224c8df16]
GOX purity LOW [ref:alarm:EV-0eadd7bdb5]
GOX purity LOW [ref:alarm:EV-f93b2ec134]
GOX purity LOW [ref:alarm:EV-0cc4816065]
GOX purity LOW [ref:alarm:EV-f6fef0a3db]
GOX purity LOW [ref:alarm:EV-63f3771d2d]

§9 — Agent Action Trace

Agent	Trigger	Decision	Outcome	Ref
HUB-EAST	(scheduled)	read_customers	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-d16c79a531]
NE01-ECON	(scheduled)	read_economics	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-f71faadd7a]
FLEET-FORECAST	(scheduled)	read_forecast	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-988cb2878b]
FLEET-CFO	(scheduled)	read_fleet	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-3b4c006ea4]
FLEET-OPS	(scheduled)	read_fleet	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-147a93e3bf]
NE01-SENS	(scheduled)	read_plant	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-e91570ac13]
NE01-ECON	(scheduled)	read_economics	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-39e65952ab]
FLEET-FC	(scheduled)	read_fleet	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-5850c31894]
FLEET-CFO	(scheduled)	read_fleet	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-f50c0d0de1]
FLEET-RT	(scheduled)	read_distribution	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-1d5bf5f469]
HUB-EAST	(scheduled)	read_customers	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-9726e6afa1]
FLEET-FORECAST	(scheduled)	read_forecast	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-da42c925c0]
FLEET-OPS	OPS_YELLOW	load	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-0a4fd5ae01]
NE01-SENS	(scheduled)	read_plant	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-5c5b21550d]
HUB-EAST	(scheduled)	read_customers	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-0edf6c7e92]
NE01-ECON	(scheduled)	read_economics	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-730a0a7811]
FLEET-RT	(scheduled)	read_distribution	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-7ae73c06f8]
FLEET-FC	(scheduled)	read_fleet	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-1a8e37991c]
FLEET-FORECAST	(scheduled)	read_forecast	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-46f3484a06]
FLEET-CFO	(scheduled)	read_fleet	PENDING	[ref:swarm_trace:EV-7d6d8dd9a4]

HUB-EAST · read_customers

Eastern Distribution Hub: 20 cust, 8 urgent, 0 CRITICAL, 0 dispatched this cycle, 0 total

NE01-ECON · read_economics

NE-01 [NORMAL] $57, 601/ h re v -$ 1,301/h cost = $+ 56, 301/ hma r g in ∣ GOX = 1.8 G A N = 106.6 L OX = 33.4 L I N = 3.1 L A R = 0.1 k g / s ∣32 M W [OFF - PE A K$ 38/MWh]

FLEET-FORECAST · read_forecast

FORECAST: 33 tracked, 0 CRIT, 0 URG | proactive: 0 | LLM targets: none | top: Philadelphia St:LOX 3.6d, Philadelphia St:LIN 3.6d, Baltimore Shipy:LOX 3.6d

§10 — Cross-LLM View

No LLM calls recorded during the incident window.

§11 — Value Attribution

Net agent value: $+0

A · Saved by agent action: $0 across 0 rows
B · Lost despite action: $0 across 0 rows
C · Neutral / info-only: 20 rows, $0

§12 — Recommendations (CAPA draft)

#	Type	Action	Owner
1	Containment	Confirm isolation and bring `Main Air Compressor` back within operating envelope	Board Operator
2	Corrective	Address the top hypothesis root cause (see §5, §6)	Reliability Engineer
3	Preventive	Add time-bounded leading-indicator workflow for `compressor_vibration` class	Process Engineer
4	Agent-level	Review swarm agent actions in §9; tune thresholds / escalation	AI Platform Engineer

§13 — Evidence Appendix

alarm (10)

EV-e8e34588e3 — GOX purity LOW
EV-16b4760eaa — GOX purity LOW
EV-b4b1e491bc — GOX purity LOW
EV-88f657ede0 — GOX purity LOW
EV-f224c8df16 — GOX purity LOW
EV-0eadd7bdb5 — GOX purity LOW
EV-f93b2ec134 — GOX purity LOW
EV-0cc4816065 — GOX purity LOW
EV-f6fef0a3db — GOX purity LOW
EV-63f3771d2d — GOX purity LOW

injection_effect (2)

EV-03b1424c9a — MAC vib 3.0mm/s, health→92%, all tanks venting
EV-a4bcadff5f — compressor_vibration fired on NE-01

swarm_trace (20)

EV-d16c79a531 — HUB-EAST → read_customers [PENDING]
EV-f71faadd7a — NE01-ECON → read_economics [PENDING]
EV-988cb2878b — FLEET-FORECAST → read_forecast [PENDING]
EV-3b4c006ea4 — FLEET-CFO → read_fleet [PENDING]
EV-147a93e3bf — FLEET-OPS → read_fleet [PENDING]
EV-e91570ac13 — NE01-SENS → read_plant [PENDING]
EV-39e65952ab — NE01-ECON → read_economics [PENDING]
EV-5850c31894 — FLEET-FC → read_fleet [PENDING]
EV-f50c0d0de1 — FLEET-CFO → read_fleet [PENDING]
EV-1d5bf5f469 — FLEET-RT → read_distribution [PENDING]
EV-9726e6afa1 — HUB-EAST → read_customers [PENDING]
EV-da42c925c0 — FLEET-FORECAST → read_forecast [PENDING]
EV-0a4fd5ae01 — FLEET-OPS → load [PENDING]
EV-5c5b21550d — NE01-SENS → read_plant [PENDING]
EV-0edf6c7e92 — HUB-EAST → read_customers [PENDING]
EV-730a0a7811 — NE01-ECON → read_economics [PENDING]
EV-7ae73c06f8 — FLEET-RT → read_distribution [PENDING]
EV-1a8e37991c — FLEET-FC → read_fleet [PENDING]
EV-46f3484a06 — FLEET-FORECAST → read_forecast [PENDING]
EV-7d6d8dd9a4 — FLEET-CFO → read_fleet [PENDING]

value_attribution (1)

EV-fb70dd9b1d — Net agent value: $+ 0 (s a v e d$ 0, lost $0)

Quartz 4

Explorer

INJ-00002

INJ-00002 — compressor_vibration

Parameters

Cascade — 10 agent steps

Raw effects

Deep RCA — agentic investigation

Hypotheses (ACH-scored)

3×5-Why matrix

Swarm action trace

Value attribution

Composed RCA Report — full markdown

RCA — Compressor Vibration

§1 — Incident Header

§2 — Plant Process Context at t₀

§3 — Symptoms (classified)

§4 — Timeline

§5 — Hypothesis Ledger (ACH scored)

§6 — 3×5-Why

DIRECT CAUSES — How did it occur?

DETECTION — Why was it not caught earlier?

SYSTEMIC — What process allowed it?

§7 — Economic & Operational Impact

§8 — Safety & Environmental

§9 — Agent Action Trace

§10 — Cross-LLM View

§11 — Value Attribution

§12 — Recommendations (CAPA draft)

§13 — Evidence Appendix

alarm (10)

injection_effect (2)

swarm_trace (20)

value_attribution (1)

Graph View

Table of Contents

Backlinks

Quartz 4

Explorer

INJ-00002

INJ-00002 — compressor_vibration

Parameters

Cascade — 10 agent steps

Raw effects

Deep RCA — agentic investigation

Hypotheses (ACH-scored)

3×5-Why matrix

Swarm action trace

Value attribution

Composed RCA Report — full markdown

RCA — Compressor Vibration

§1 — Incident Header

§2 — Plant Process Context at t₀

§3 — Symptoms (classified)

§4 — Timeline

§5 — Hypothesis Ledger (ACH scored)

§6 — 3×5-Why

DIRECT CAUSES — How did it occur?

DETECTION — Why was it not caught earlier?

SYSTEMIC — What process allowed it?

§7 — Economic & Operational Impact

§8 — Safety & Environmental

§9 — Agent Action Trace

§10 — Cross-LLM View

§11 — Value Attribution

§12 — Recommendations (CAPA draft)

§13 — Evidence Appendix

alarm (10)

injection_effect (2)

swarm_trace (20)

value_attribution (1)

Related

Graph View

Table of Contents

Backlinks